The EL PAÍS tool that predicts the World Cup
A model with four databases calculates the probabilities of victory in real time for each team.
EL PAÍS has launched an interactive tool designed to calculate the probabilities of victory for each team in the Soccer World Cup. This initiative transforms the consumption of sports predictions by relying exclusively on objective data and real performance instead of hunches. The system integrates four different databases that analyze key factors of the teams' performance during the competition.
The variables evaluated include ball possession, offensive efficiency, defensive solidity and recent confrontation history. By processing this information, the model offers a mathematical percentage of chances for each selection, allowing fans to access a deep analysis that goes beyond intuition. The tool dynamically updates as matches progress, adjusting probabilities based on actual on-field performance and removing noise from prior expectations.
