Japan national team has a 37.53% chance of defeating Brazil! Opta shows in data
FIFA World Cup 2026 final tournament 1st round, Japan vs. Brazil. Data analysis site Opta unravels the basis for Japan's national team's winning percentage of 37.53%, calculated through 25,000 simulations.

53%. This is not just wishful thinking, but rather a number based on careful simulations. Opta conducted 25,000 simulations to make this prediction.
7%. 0% chance that a match will not be decided after 90 minutes and will go into overtime or a penalty shootout. This analysis takes into consideration not only past match results, but also multifaceted factors such as the Japan national team's performance in the group stage and their winning experience in previous World Cups.














