- What exactly can I trade on Kalshi for the 2026 World Cup?
- Kalshi’s event contracts cover match outcomes (win/lose/draw), exact scorelines, total goals, first goalscorers, and overall tournament winners. Markets are split by group-stage matches and knockout rounds, with contracts settling to $1 or $0 based on outcomes.
- Is this legal in the US, Canada, and Mexico?
- Kalshi operates under CFTC-regulated status in the US, registered as a swap execution facility. In Canada and Mexico, it adheres to local financial regulations for prediction markets, but users should verify their jurisdiction’s rules before trading.
- How do the prices on Kalshi work compared to traditional betting?
- Prices reflect real-time probability based on user demand, not fixed odds. A contract priced at $0.75 implies a 75% chance of the outcome per Kalshi’s settlement rules. Prices fluctuate as trading volume shifts, similar to a stock market.
- Can I short a team or outcome on Kalshi?
- Yes. Selling a contract (shorting) is allowed if you believe the outcome is overpriced. You profit if the price drops to $0 at settlement. However, shorting requires available liquidity, which varies by market.
- What fees does Kalshi charge for World Cup trading?
- Kalshi charges a 2% taker fee on trades and a 0.5% maker fee for adding liquidity. There are no commissions on withdrawals, but bank transfer or card fees may apply depending on your region and payment method.
- When do Kalshi’s World Cup markets open and close?
- Markets for group-stage matches open at the tournament’s official start date and close at kickoff. Knockout-stage markets open after group-stage results are finalized and close at match start. Tournament winner markets remain open until the final whistle.
